TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136563
Played Sep 16Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214711116117711
Denys Maltsev
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 64.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 41–13 Denys Maltsev Denys Maltsev has won 13 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-13 in 54
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 28 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1526 vs Maltsev 1516
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 40% vs Maltsev 80%
Maltsev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 40% vs Maltsev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -1 · Maltsev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.50 / Maltsev 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pytsko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13136563
Pytsko1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 59 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Maltsev2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko6wins
AwayMaltsev4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko71.4%5 of 7
AwayMaltsev66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko7Maltsev3n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S2Pytsko3Maltsev7n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S3Pytsko7Maltsev3n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Pytsko7Maltsev2n = 9Pytsko took 7 of 9
S5Pytsko1Maltsev3n = 4Maltsev took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoMaltsevP − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.840.1+2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 605 vs 458 / 89155.9%51.4%338 / 605 vs 458 / 891Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.50/Maltsev 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 16:05I. Pytsko351113113D. Maltsev2691160
LSep 14 · 22:00I. Pytsko53118111492D. Maltsev558111312113
WSep 9 · 07:35I. Pytsko4111811113D. Maltsev29411861
WSep 8 · 14:05I. Pytsko4111514113D. Maltsev354111281
WSep 7 · 20:15I. Pytsko619111111193D. Maltsev49114134172
WSep 4 · 14:55I. Pytsko3811313113D. Maltsev387111191
WSep 1 · 18:35I. Pytsko3911611113D. Maltsev32711771
LAug 25 · 01:30I. Pytsko34871271D. Maltsev43111110113
LAug 5 · 10:05I. Pytsko3656111132D. Maltsev45111148113
LJul 17 · 22:15I. Pytsko501111115122D. Maltsev49291311143
I. Pytsko10
LSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.108115111O. Storozhenko1.6711611133WSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123LSep 15 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.831111113I. Pytsko1.835790LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182WSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113LSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191WSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113
D. Maltsev10
LSep 16 · 10:05D. Maltsev2.204680O. Storozhenko1.611111113WSep 16 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.809121161D. Maltsev1.9111149113WSep 16 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi1.807390D. Maltsev1.911111113WSep 16 · 05:05Y. Makovka2.751181091D. Maltsev1.4041112113WSep 15 · 18:05Y. Makovka2.004660D. Maltsev1.731111113LSep 15 · 17:05D. Maltsev1.83113641I. Fashchevskyi1.8331111113LSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113LSep 15 · 14:35D. Maltsev1.837350Y. Tebenko1.831111113LSep 15 · 12:35D. Maltsev1.83613961O. Storozhenko1.83111111113LSep 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev1.808711101I. Fashchevskyi1.9111118123
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