TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13132689
Played Sep 15Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611611––––
Denys Maltsev
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:34 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 60.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 0–1 Denys Maltsev Yaroslav Makovka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1465 vs Maltsev 1463
Makovka
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 40% vs Maltsev 0%
Makovka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 50% vs Maltsev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -1 · Maltsev -5
Maltsev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Maltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (0%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.15 / Maltsev 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Maltsev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13132689
Makovka2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Maltsev1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 108 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it87% 67 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 84 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMakovka0wins
AwayMaltsev1wins
Maltsev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMakovkaMaltsevMakovka − MaltsevBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.037.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 374 vs 454 / 88639%51.2%146 / 374 vs 454 / 886Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevMakovka 2.15/Maltsev 1.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka32811491D. Maltsev3711411113
Y. Makovka10
LSep 15 · 16:35Y. Makovka2.106950Y. Tebenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 15:05Y. Makovka1.60571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.2011117472LSep 15 · 13:35Y. Makovka2.2541131162O. Storozhenko1.57114119113WSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191LSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113LSep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.731111108153Y. Makovka2.00971211132WSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290WSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko1.91561111Y. Makovka1.8011116113LSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113
D. Maltsev10
LSep 15 · 17:05D. Maltsev1.83113641I. Fashchevskyi1.8331111113LSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113LSep 15 · 14:35D. Maltsev1.837350Y. Tebenko1.831111113LSep 15 · 12:35D. Maltsev1.83613961O. Storozhenko1.83111111113LSep 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev1.808711101I. Fashchevskyi1.9111118123WSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko3.506680D. Maltsev1.281111113WSep 14 · 23:00O. Storozhenko1.734260D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771
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