TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13132581
Played Sep 15Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511711117114117
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:54 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Makovka to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yaroslav Makovka at 64.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 1–0 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:54What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Makovka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1463 vs Fashchevskyi 1416
Makovka
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 40% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 50% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -1 · Fashchevskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Makovka) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 1.60 / Fashchevskyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Makovka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13132581
Makovka1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 13 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Fashchevskyi2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 78 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMakovka1wins
AwayFashchevskyi0wins
Makovka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMakovkaFashchevskyiM − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.029.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 372 vs 288 / 57639%50%145 / 372 vs 288 / 576Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakovkaMakovka 1.60/Fashchevskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Makovka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka361114113I. Fashchevskyi2981290
Y. Makovka10
LSep 15 · 13:35Y. Makovka2.2541131162O. Storozhenko1.57114119113WSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191LSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113LSep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.731111108153Y. Makovka2.00971211132WSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290WSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko1.91561111Y. Makovka1.8011116113LSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 13:05Y. Tebenko1.5011119143I. Fashchevskyi2.509411121WSep 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev1.808711101I. Fashchevskyi1.9111118123LSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113LSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290LSep 14 · 21:30O. Storozhenko1.6751111123I. Fashchevskyi2.101178101LSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko1.5711812113I. Fashchevskyi2.256111071LSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123
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