TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136416
Played Sep 16Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151191614––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 16-14
Point 66 set 3, 16-14 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 70.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 3–4 Ivan Pytsko Yaroslav Makovka has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1438 vs Pytsko 1544
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 20% vs Pytsko 40%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 30% vs Pytsko 50%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka +1 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.75 / Pytsko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136416
Makovka2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 45 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Pytsko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 59 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMakovka3wins
AwayPytsko4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPytsko leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovka100%3 of 3
AwayPytsko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka3Pytsko4n = 7Pytsko took 4 of 7
S2Makovka2Pytsko5n = 7Pytsko took 5 of 7
S3Makovka1Pytsko6n = 7Pytsko took 6 of 7
S4Makovka1Pytsko2n = 3Pytsko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away457%
These 7 meetings
MetricMakovkaPytskoM − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.938.3−4.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 378 vs 338 / 60438.9%56%147 / 378 vs 338 / 604Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMakovka 2.75/Pytsko 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4111118113I. Pytsko34591191
LSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka184950I. Pytsko331111113
LSep 10 · 08:35Y. Makovka218850I. Pytsko331111113
WSep 9 · 13:35Y. Makovka571111914123I. Pytsko53881116102
WSep 8 · 20:30Y. Makovka46117116113I. Pytsko4681181182
LSep 3 · 06:35Y. Makovka2789100I. Pytsko341111123
LSep 2 · 15:05Y. Makovka2711880I. Pytsko351311113
Y. Makovka10
WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751LSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 16 · 05:05Y. Makovka2.751181091D. Maltsev1.4041112113LSep 15 · 18:05Y. Makovka2.004660D. Maltsev1.731111113LSep 15 · 16:35Y. Makovka2.106950Y. Tebenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 15:05Y. Makovka1.60571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.2011117472LSep 15 · 13:35Y. Makovka2.2541131162O. Storozhenko1.57114119113WSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191LSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113LSep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.731111108153Y. Makovka2.00971211132
I. Pytsko10
WSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.108115111O. Storozhenko1.6711611133WSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123LSep 15 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.831111113I. Pytsko1.835790LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182WSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113LSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191WSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113WSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Makovka
Nothing scheduled
I. Pytsko
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