TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155100
Played Sep 20Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711811––––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:59 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 68.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 10–29 Maksym Khomenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 10 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-29 in 39
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 19 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1644 vs Khomenko 1624
Tebenko
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 80% vs Khomenko 40%
Tebenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 70% vs Khomenko 40%
Tebenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko -1 · Khomenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 2.63 / Khomenko 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Khomenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155100
Tebenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 120 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back31% 42 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 74
Khomenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 79 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko2wins
AwayKhomenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko40%2 of 5
AwayKhomenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko5Khomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tebenko5Khomenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Tebenko3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S4Tebenko2Khomenko5n = 7Khomenko took 5 of 7
S5Tebenko0Khomenko3n = 3Khomenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoKhomenkoT − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.3−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 845 vs 463 / 84348.5%54.9%410 / 845 vs 463 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoTebenko 2.63/Khomenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Tebenko4031181172M. Khomenko48117118113
LSep 13 · 02:00Y. Tebenko163490M. Khomenko331111113
LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Tebenko361011781M. Khomenko4312911113
LAug 31 · 07:05Y. Tebenko4811911892M. Khomenko48711811113
WMar 27 · 23:45Y. Tebenko341111123M. Khomenko2257100
LFeb 15 · 03:30Y. Tebenko361110781M. Khomenko4281211113
LJan 17 · 23:30Y. Tebenko188550M. Khomenko331111113
WJan 16 · 15:25Y. Tebenko3811115113M. Khomenko30961141
LOct 15 · 07:05Y. Tebenko431595141M. Khomenko51131111163
LOct 14 · 24:30Y. Tebenko47911134102M. Khomenko531181111123
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 20 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.006712101V. Kovalchuk1.73111110123WSep 19 · 23:00Y. Tebenko1.91111011113R. Novak1.80912971WSep 19 · 21:30Y. Tebenko1.83116711123Y. Parahailo1.83911114102WSep 19 · 20:00Y. Tebenko2.10118611113D. Shchegelskyi1.6781111942WSep 16 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.8311119113O. Storozhenko1.83891161WSep 16 · 09:05I. Fashchevskyi2.63112811102Y. Tebenko1.44711119123LSep 16 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.809121161D. Maltsev1.9111149113WSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123WSep 15 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.831111113I. Pytsko1.835790
M. Khomenko10
WSep 20 · 01:00M. Khomenko1.83971311113R. Novak1.83111111782LSep 20 · 24:00M. Khomenko2.10113891D. Shchegelskyi1.6751111113LSep 19 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.7371180V. Kovalchuk2.001113113WSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780LSep 18 · 11:35M. Khomenko1.911156101V. Slozka1.8081111123LSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670LSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281WSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121
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