TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148571
Played Sep 18Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121173111614119
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 62.1%
104 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 28–23 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 23 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-23 in 51
Loboda
Correct
gap of 5 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1688 vs Shchegelskyi 1540
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 80% vs Shchegelskyi 60%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 60% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Shchegelskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.57 / Shchegelskyi 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Loboda)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148571
Loboda1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 152 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it74% 126 of 170
Shchegelskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayShchegelskyi5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda80%4 of 5
AwayShchegelskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda5Shchegelskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Loboda10Shchegelskyi0n = 10Loboda took 10 of 10
S3Loboda3Shchegelskyi7n = 10Shchegelskyi took 7 of 10
S4Loboda3Shchegelskyi5n = 8Shchegelskyi took 5 of 8
S5Loboda2Shchegelskyi3n = 5Shchegelskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.2+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 955 vs 472 / 91051.8%51.9%495 / 955 vs 472 / 910Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.57/Shchegelskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda511011316113D. Shchegelskyi53127111492
WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda44111111113D. Shchegelskyi28341381
LSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda33711691D. Shchegelskyi3511211113
WSep 15 · 02:45M. Loboda531111911113D. Shchegelskyi4266111362
LSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda4181261142D. Shchegelskyi491110116113
WSep 10 · 14:35M. Loboda331111113D. Shchegelskyi197750
LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda4081111282D. Shchegelskyi50118911113
WSep 6 · 18:35M. Loboda331111113D. Shchegelskyi259970
LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda50111111892D. Shchegelskyi49591311113
LSep 3 · 14:35M. Loboda311011371D. Shchegelskyi4212811113
M. Loboda10
WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 18 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi3.251241041V. Slozka1.33101112113WSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281LSep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.0012106101V. Slozka1.36101211123WSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113WSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371LSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381LSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00111011113D. Shchegelskyi1.73512871LSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113
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