TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148503
Played Sep 18Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 65.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 70–43 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 43 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-43 in 113
Loboda
Correct
gap of 27 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1676 vs Vorsuliak 1638
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 80% vs Vorsuliak 20%
Loboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 70% vs Vorsuliak 40%
Loboda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +2 · Vorsuliak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.44 / Vorsuliak 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148503
Loboda1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 152 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it74% 126 of 170
Vorsuliak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 72 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda8wins
AwayVorsuliak2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda87.5%7 of 8
AwayVorsuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda8Vorsuliak2n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Loboda5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Loboda7Vorsuliak3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Loboda5Vorsuliak3n = 8Loboda took 5 of 8
S5Loboda2Vorsuliak1n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaVorsuliakL − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.5+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 954 vs 448 / 88751.8%50.5%494 / 954 vs 448 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.44/Vorsuliak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda3611311113Y. Vorsuliak29311691
LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda31741371Y. Vorsuliak44111111113
WSep 11 · 08:35M. Loboda3711114113Y. Vorsuliak29631191
WSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda4311138113Y. Vorsuliak346111161
WSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda541181112123Y. Vorsuliak51811814102
WSep 6 · 17:35M. Loboda44811311113Y. Vorsuliak4411611882
WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda49111411133Y. Vorsuliak407166111
WSep 3 · 16:05M. Loboda341112113Y. Vorsuliak1741030
LSep 3 · 24:00M. Loboda4311811672Y. Vorsuliak49811811113
WAug 28 · 05:05M. Loboda331111113Y. Vorsuliak188640
M. Loboda10
WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520WSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3851070V. Slozka1.531112113LSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371WSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.3876110Y. Vorsuliak1.531111133LSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652WSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 16 · 23:00O. Rodin1.9111911113Y. Vorsuliak1.80311831
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.