TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151210611119––
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 63.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 19–9 Mykhailo Potapov Mykhailo Potapov has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-9 in 28
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1573 vs Potapov 1554
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Potapov 40%
Storozhenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 50% vs Potapov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko -1 · Potapov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.50 / Potapov 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166290
Storozhenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 162 of 288
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it70% 105 of 151
Potapov2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 48 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko5wins
AwayPotapov5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko80%4 of 5
AwayPotapov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko5Potapov5n = 10split evenly
S2Storozhenko5Potapov5n = 10split evenly
S3Storozhenko5Potapov5n = 10split evenly
S4Storozhenko6Potapov4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoPotapovS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.9+1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 513 vs 203 / 42752.2%47.5%268 / 513 vs 203 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.50/Potapov 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 21:45O. Storozhenko3811511113M. Potapov34711971
LSep 9 · 05:05O. Storozhenko34118961M. Potapov4181111113
WSep 8 · 12:35O. Storozhenko3911611113M. Potapov27411571
LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko4381151182M. Potapov41114114113
WSep 5 · 21:30O. Storozhenko4011711113M. Potapov27511561
LSep 4 · 17:25O. Storozhenko361191151M. Potapov4013115113
WSep 3 · 20:15O. Storozhenko3961111113M. Potapov33115891
WAug 20 · 20:15O. Storozhenko4011126113M. Potapov337101151
LAug 17 · 21:00O. Storozhenko4313118111M. Potapov4515611133
LAug 12 · 06:05O. Storozhenko36817741M. Potapov48111511113
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 21 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.20981412113O. Storozhenko1.611111121062LSep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko2.10111157113O. Storozhenko1.6786111192WSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113LSep 20 · 17:35D. Shchegelskyi1.8371111143O. Storozhenko1.831195121WSep 20 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk1.8061211342O. Storozhenko1.911110511113WSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko1.91118971O. Storozhenko1.8081111113LSep 20 · 12:05R. Novak1.7311811143O. Storozhenko2.006113121LSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101LSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.61146671I. Pytsko2.20121111113WSep 18 · 23:30O. Budnikov2.3811771192O. Storozhenko1.53511113113
M. Potapov10
LSep 21 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011101110113M. Potapov1.7361281282WSep 21 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.8379100M. Potapov1.831111123WSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980LSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061WSep 12 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80821111113Y. Tebenko1.9111118992LSep 12 · 24:45M. Potapov1.25115541V. Korobko3.7581111113WSep 11 · 23:15M. Potapov2.20131110113R. Novak1.611181221LSep 11 · 21:45M. Potapov2.25711971O. Storozhenko1.5711511113
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