TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148316
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412611611711––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 58.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 11–7 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1590 vs Pytsko 1546
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 80% vs Pytsko 20%
Storozhenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 70% vs Pytsko 30%
Storozhenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko +3 · Pytsko -1
Storozhenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.61 / Pytsko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148316
Storozhenko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 160 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it70% 105 of 151
Pytsko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayPytsko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko7Pytsko3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S2Storozhenko5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Storozhenko6Pytsko4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Storozhenko3Pytsko6n = 9Pytsko took 6 of 9
S5Storozhenko2Pytsko1n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.2+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 506 vs 333 / 59652.4%55.9%265 / 506 vs 333 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.61/Pytsko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko33146671I. Pytsko45121111113
WSep 16 · 06:35O. Storozhenko4111611133I. Pytsko358115111
WSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko39115111113I. Pytsko4591161182
LSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko50118111372I. Pytsko52611915113
WSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko46101312113I. Pytsko3912111061
LSep 9 · 11:35O. Storozhenko3810126101I. Pytsko45121011123
WSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko511111711113I. Pytsko4888111382
WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko3711114113I. Pytsko27381151
LSep 4 · 13:55O. Storozhenko409711131I. Pytsko4411117153
WAug 5 · 06:35O. Storozhenko331111113I. Pytsko228860
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 18 · 23:30O. Budnikov2.3811771192O. Storozhenko1.53511113113WSep 18 · 21:30I. Fashchevskyi2.20118111032O. Storozhenko1.61711812113WSep 18 · 20:30V. Kovalchuk1.8311811972O. Storozhenko1.83911811113LSep 16 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.8311119113O. Storozhenko1.83891161WSep 16 · 10:05D. Maltsev2.204680O. Storozhenko1.611111113LSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751WSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.108115111O. Storozhenko1.6711611133WSep 16 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.20761161O. Storozhenko1.6111117113LSep 15 · 19:05I. Fashchevskyi2.2081111123O. Storozhenko1.611168101WSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182
I. Pytsko10
LSep 19 · 02:30O. Budnikov1.531111113I. Pytsko2.384780LSep 19 · 24:00V. Kovalchuk1.571111143I. Pytsko2.2599120WSep 18 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.38711531I. Pytsko1.5311811113LSep 18 · 20:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0011912113I. Pytsko1.738111091LSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.108115111O. Storozhenko1.6711611133WSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.