TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118116511711119
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 56.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 7–11 Oleksandr Storozhenko Ivan Pytsko has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1538 vs Storozhenko 1585
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 60% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +1 · Storozhenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 2.10 / Storozhenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Storozhenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166361
Pytsko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 23 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Storozhenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 162 of 288
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it70% 105 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko66.7%2 of 3
AwayStorozhenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko3Storozhenko7n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S2Pytsko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Pytsko4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Pytsko6Storozhenko3n = 9Pytsko took 6 of 9
S5Pytsko1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.8−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 602 vs 268 / 51255.8%52.3%336 / 602 vs 268 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoPytsko 2.10/Storozhenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 01:30I. Pytsko45121111113O. Storozhenko33146671
LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko358115111O. Storozhenko4111611133
LSep 15 · 17:35I. Pytsko4591161182O. Storozhenko39115111113
WSep 14 · 20:00I. Pytsko52611915113O. Storozhenko50118111372
LSep 12 · 01:45I. Pytsko3912111061O. Storozhenko46101312113
WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko45121011123O. Storozhenko3810126101
LSep 8 · 17:35I. Pytsko4888111382O. Storozhenko511111711113
LSep 8 · 02:45I. Pytsko27381151O. Storozhenko3711114113
WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko4411117153O. Storozhenko409711131
LAug 5 · 06:35I. Pytsko228860O. Storozhenko331111113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 21 · 15:25I. Pytsko2.25129711113Y. Parahailo1.57101111382WSep 21 · 14:25D. Maltsev2.50891161I. Pytsko1.5011115113WSep 21 · 02:45D. Maltsev2.5011114572I. Pytsko1.50971111113LSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 21 · 24:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141WSep 20 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00118181162I. Pytsko1.73811206113WSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 19 · 02:30O. Budnikov1.531111113I. Pytsko2.384780WSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.61146671I. Pytsko2.20121111113LSep 19 · 24:00V. Kovalchuk1.571111143I. Pytsko2.2599120
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 21 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.20981412113O. Storozhenko1.611111121062WSep 21 · 13:55O. Storozhenko1.5011126113M. Potapov2.505101191WSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113LSep 20 · 17:35D. Shchegelskyi1.8371111143O. Storozhenko1.831195121WSep 20 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk1.8061211342O. Storozhenko1.911110511113WSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko1.91118971O. Storozhenko1.8081111113LSep 20 · 12:05R. Novak1.7311811143O. Storozhenko2.006113121LSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101LSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.61146671I. Pytsko2.20121111113WSep 18 · 23:30O. Budnikov2.3811771192O. Storozhenko1.53511113113
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