TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210911711113118
Yurii Parahailo
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 61.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 14–28 Yurii Parahailo Ivan Pytsko has won 14 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Parahailo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-28 in 42
Parahailo
Wrong
gap of 14 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1573 vs Parahailo 1578
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 60% vs Parahailo 40%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 60% vs Parahailo 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +3 · Parahailo -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Parahailo) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 2.25 / Parahailo 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Parahailo)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166394
Pytsko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 23 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Parahailo1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko1wins
AwayParahailo9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko33.3%1 of 3
AwayParahailo100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko3Parahailo7n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10
S2Pytsko1Parahailo9n = 10Parahailo took 9 of 10
S3Pytsko3Parahailo7n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10
S4Pytsko3Parahailo3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoParahailoPytsko − ParahailoBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.838.7−7.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 604 vs 405 / 80156%50.6%338 / 604 vs 405 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoPytsko 2.25/Parahailo 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 04:35I. Pytsko168440Y. Parahailo331111113
LJul 15 · 05:05I. Pytsko31581171Y. Parahailo4211119113
LJul 14 · 12:35I. Pytsko185760Y. Parahailo331111113
WJul 13 · 23:30I. Pytsko3811411123Y. Parahailo303116101
LJan 26 · 07:05I. Pytsko58119131692Y. Parahailo554111514113
LJan 19 · 08:35I. Pytsko1910540Y. Parahailo341211113
LJan 18 · 14:35I. Pytsko228680Y. Parahailo331111113
LJan 17 · 22:30I. Pytsko30811651Y. Parahailo4211911113
LJan 12 · 12:35I. Pytsko4689131152Y. Parahailo491111115113
LJan 11 · 19:05I. Pytsko30119641Y. Parahailo3631111113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 21 · 14:25D. Maltsev2.50891161I. Pytsko1.5011115113WSep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko2.10111157113O. Storozhenko1.6786111192WSep 21 · 02:45D. Maltsev2.5011114572I. Pytsko1.50971111113LSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 21 · 24:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141WSep 20 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00118181162I. Pytsko1.73811206113WSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 19 · 02:30O. Budnikov1.531111113I. Pytsko2.384780WSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.61146671I. Pytsko2.20121111113LSep 19 · 24:00V. Kovalchuk1.571111143I. Pytsko2.2599120
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 21 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.6361111163Y. Parahailo1.441187141LSep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83129911113Y. Parahailo1.83101111982LSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113WSep 20 · 16:35R. Novak1.8389121192Y. Parahailo1.831111107113WSep 20 · 15:35Y. Parahailo1.801011911103D. Shchegelskyi1.9112511762WSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63611171142Y. Parahailo1.44117199113WSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113WSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.6711616133D. Shchegelskyi2.1061114111LSep 19 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.63129119113Y. Parahailo1.44101141172
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