TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111186111012––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 62.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 4–9 Ivan Pytsko Vasyl Moshovskyi has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1527 vs Pytsko 1532
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 50% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -2 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 2.38 / Pytsko 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13160767
Moshovskyi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 12 days ago (Sep 08) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 33 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Pytsko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 61 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi3wins
AwayPytsko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi50%2 of 4
AwayPytsko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Moshovskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S3Moshovskyi2Pytsko8n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10
S4Moshovskyi3Pytsko2n = 5Moshovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoM − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.937.2−4.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 330 vs 333 / 59755.2%55.8%182 / 330 vs 333 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMoshovskyi 2.38/Pytsko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi50111110992I. Pytsko51891211113
WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi4011117113I. Pytsko34971171
LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi228770I. Pytsko331111113
LJul 18 · 02:45V. Moshovskyi163670I. Pytsko331111113
WJul 15 · 08:05V. Moshovskyi4111811113I. Pytsko34511991
LJul 11 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi238870I. Pytsko331111113
LFeb 25 · 10:25V. Moshovskyi4811129972I. Pytsko529101111113
WFeb 11 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi4291111113I. Pytsko34117791
LFeb 4 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi235990I. Pytsko331111113
LFeb 1 · 05:55V. Moshovskyi2491140I. Pytsko351113113
V. Moshovskyi10
LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113LSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi1.5711411682Y. Tebenko2.25311211113WSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282WSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101LSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi1.67137117102D. Maltsev2.101111611123WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171WSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131
I. Pytsko10
LSep 19 · 02:30O. Budnikov1.531111113I. Pytsko2.384780WSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.61146671I. Pytsko2.20121111113LSep 19 · 24:00V. Kovalchuk1.571111143I. Pytsko2.2599120WSep 18 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.38711531I. Pytsko1.5311811113LSep 18 · 20:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0011912113I. Pytsko1.738111091LSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113WSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113LSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171
Upcoming Matches
V. Moshovskyi
I. Pytsko
Sep 20 · 22:15I. Pytsko1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 21 · 24:15I. Pytsko1.67V. Korobko2.10—Sep 21 · 01:45I. Pytsko1.67M. Potapov2.10—Sep 21 · 02:45I. Pytsko1.50D. Maltsev2.50—Sep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko2.10O. Storozhenko1.67—Sep 21 · 14:25I. Pytsko1.50D. Maltsev2.50—Sep 21 · 15:25I. Pytsko2.25Y. Parahailo1.57—Sep 21 · 16:25I. Pytsko1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 21 · 18:25I. Pytsko1.67M. Potapov2.10—
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