TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111181171614––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 16-14
Point 84 set 4, 16-14 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 68.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 6–8 Yurii Parahailo Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Parahailo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Parahailo
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1445 vs Parahailo 1594
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 60% vs Parahailo 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Parahailo 60%
Parahailo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi +1 · Parahailo -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Parahailo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.63 / Parahailo 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Parahailo)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166188
Fashchevskyi2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back25% 24 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Parahailo1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi5wins
AwayParahailo5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi80%4 of 5
AwayParahailo80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi5Parahailo5n = 10split evenly
S2Fashchevskyi4Parahailo6n = 10Parahailo took 6 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi2Parahailo8n = 10Parahailo took 8 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi3Parahailo3n = 6split evenly
S5Fashchevskyi3Parahailo0n = 3Fashchevskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiParahailoF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.337.7−3.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 592 vs 405 / 80149.5%50.6%293 / 592 vs 405 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoFashchevskyi 2.63/Parahailo 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi224990Y. Parahailo331111113
LAug 29 · 23:30I. Fashchevskyi30114691Y. Parahailo4181111113
LAug 26 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1811070Y. Parahailo341112113
WAug 19 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi4011117113Y. Parahailo32671181
WAug 18 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi48126811113Y. Parahailo42101111192
LAug 14 · 20:00I. Fashchevskyi327411101Y. Parahailo4111117123
WAug 12 · 09:35I. Fashchevskyi351113113Y. Parahailo2991190
WAug 11 · 18:35I. Fashchevskyi47141273113Y. Parahailo531210111192
WAug 8 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi51911911113Y. Parahailo3911311952
LAug 7 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi205780Y. Parahailo331111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 21 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011101110113M. Potapov1.7361281282LSep 21 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.8379100M. Potapov1.831111123WSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko1.537670I. Fashchevskyi2.381111113WSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113LSep 20 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00118181162I. Pytsko1.73811206113LSep 20 · 21:15D. Maltsev1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007560WSep 19 · 02:00I. Fashchevskyi2.751111115113V. Kovalchuk1.4076131192LSep 19 · 24:30I. Fashchevskyi2.50117671O. Budnikov1.5091111113LSep 18 · 23:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0012541152D. Maltsev1.731011118113LSep 18 · 21:30I. Fashchevskyi2.20118111032O. Storozhenko1.61711812113
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83129911113Y. Parahailo1.83101111982LSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113WSep 20 · 16:35R. Novak1.8389121192Y. Parahailo1.831111107113WSep 20 · 15:35Y. Parahailo1.801011911103D. Shchegelskyi1.9112511762WSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63611171142Y. Parahailo1.44117199113WSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113WSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.6711616133D. Shchegelskyi2.1061114111LSep 19 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.63129119113Y. Parahailo1.44101141172LSep 19 · 21:30Y. Tebenko1.83116711123Y. Parahailo1.83911114102
Upcoming Matches
I. Fashchevskyi
Y. Parahailo
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.