TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115116––––
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 56.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 28–29 Ivan Fashchevskyi Denys Maltsev has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-29 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1559 vs Fashchevskyi 1437
Maltsev
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 60% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 70% vs Fashchevskyi 20%
Maltsev
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev +1 · Fashchevskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Maltsev)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 1.73 / Fashchevskyi 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Maltsev)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161073
Maltsev1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 110 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it87% 67 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 84 of 113
Fashchevskyi2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev5wins
AwayFashchevskyi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev75%3 of 4
AwayFashchevskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S3Maltsev8Fashchevskyi2n = 10Maltsev took 8 of 10
S4Maltsev4Fashchevskyi5n = 9Fashchevskyi took 5 of 9
S5Maltsev2Fashchevskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevFashchevskyiM − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.3+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime459 / 891 vs 290 / 58651.5%49.5%459 / 891 vs 290 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevMaltsev 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 23:00D. Maltsev511011118113I. Fashchevskyi3712541152
WSep 16 · 06:05D. Maltsev331111113I. Fashchevskyi197390
LSep 15 · 17:05D. Maltsev24113641I. Fashchevskyi3631111113
LSep 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev368711101I. Fashchevskyi4211118123
LSep 11 · 17:25D. Maltsev4788111192I. Fashchevskyi50111198113
WSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev49671114113I. Fashchevskyi40111151212
LSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev31411971I. Fashchevskyi4111811113
WAug 31 · 10:05D. Maltsev4113611113I. Fashchevskyi321111281
WAug 30 · 01:30D. Maltsev4111811113I. Fashchevskyi33811591
LAug 28 · 20:15D. Maltsev4681114582I. Fashchevskyi531181211113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101LSep 19 · 01:00V. Kovalchuk1.33111011113D. Maltsev3.25312991WSep 18 · 23:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0012541152D. Maltsev1.731011118113LSep 18 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.38711531I. Pytsko1.5311811113WSep 18 · 21:00O. Budnikov1.6758111172D. Maltsev2.10111138113WSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 16 · 10:05D. Maltsev2.204680O. Storozhenko1.611111113WSep 16 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.809121161D. Maltsev1.9111149113WSep 16 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi1.807390D. Maltsev1.911111113WSep 16 · 05:05Y. Makovka2.751181091D. Maltsev1.4041112113
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 19 · 02:00I. Fashchevskyi2.751111115113V. Kovalchuk1.4076131192LSep 19 · 24:30I. Fashchevskyi2.50117671O. Budnikov1.5091111113LSep 18 · 23:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0012541152D. Maltsev1.731011118113LSep 18 · 21:30I. Fashchevskyi2.20118111032O. Storozhenko1.61711812113WSep 18 · 20:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0011912113I. Pytsko1.738111091LSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113LSep 16 · 09:05I. Fashchevskyi2.63112811102Y. Tebenko1.44711119123LSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi1.807390D. Maltsev1.911111113LSep 16 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.20761161O. Storozhenko1.6111117113
Upcoming Matches
D. Maltsev
Sep 20 · 22:45D. Maltsev1.28V. Korobko3.50—Sep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.83M. Potapov1.83—Sep 21 · 24:45D. Maltsev2.00V. Moshovskyi1.73—Sep 21 · 02:45D. Maltsev2.50I. Pytsko1.50—Sep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83Y. Parahailo1.83—Sep 21 · 14:25D. Maltsev2.50I. Pytsko1.50—Sep 21 · 15:55D. Maltsev1.83M. Potapov1.83—Sep 21 · 16:55D. Maltsev2.00O. Storozhenko1.73—Sep 21 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—
I. Fashchevskyi
Sep 20 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91V. Moshovskyi1.80—Sep 21 · 01:15I. Fashchevskyi2.38V. Korobko1.53—Sep 21 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.83M. Potapov1.83—Sep 21 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi1.83M. Potapov1.83—Sep 21 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.63Y. Parahailo1.44—Sep 21 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.20O. Storozhenko1.61—Sep 21 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 21 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00D. Maltsev1.73—
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