TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311511811611––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:34 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 54.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 11–9 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:34What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Parahailo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Parahailo
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1644 vs Storozhenko 1593
Parahailo
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 100% vs Storozhenko 40%
Parahailo
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 70% vs Storozhenko 50%
Parahailo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo +6 · Storozhenko -1
Parahailo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Parahailo) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 1.73 / Storozhenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Parahailo)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161725
Parahailo1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 65 of 85
Storozhenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 58 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo57.1%4 of 7
AwayStorozhenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo7Storozhenko3n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10
S2Parahailo2Storozhenko8n = 10Storozhenko took 8 of 10
S3Parahailo5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Parahailo4Storozhenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Parahailo1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.2+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 804 vs 267 / 51150.6%52.3%407 / 804 vs 267 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoParahailo 1.73/Storozhenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo331111113O. Storozhenko177550
WAug 29 · 21:00Y. Parahailo3811511113O. Storozhenko30811561
WAug 26 · 05:05Y. Parahailo4111811113O. Storozhenko30811381
LAug 24 · 07:35Y. Parahailo45118101152O. Storozhenko46311129113
WAug 22 · 20:00Y. Parahailo45117511113O. Storozhenko4051111762
LAug 18 · 17:35Y. Parahailo4010121171O. Storozhenko4312146113
LAug 17 · 22:00Y. Parahailo4411125792O. Storozhenko474101111113
LAug 14 · 22:00Y. Parahailo371381151O. Storozhenko3815111113
LAug 12 · 05:05Y. Parahailo209650O. Storozhenko331111113
LAug 11 · 14:05Y. Parahailo29118371O. Storozhenko3851111113
Y. Parahailo10
WSep 20 · 16:35R. Novak1.8389121192Y. Parahailo1.831111107113WSep 20 · 15:35Y. Parahailo1.801011911103D. Shchegelskyi1.9112511762WSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63611171142Y. Parahailo1.44117199113WSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113WSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.6711616133D. Shchegelskyi2.1061114111LSep 19 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.63129119113Y. Parahailo1.44101141172LSep 19 · 21:30Y. Tebenko1.83116711123Y. Parahailo1.83911114102LSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780WSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 20 · 17:35D. Shchegelskyi1.8371111143O. Storozhenko1.831195121WSep 20 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk1.8061211342O. Storozhenko1.911110511113WSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko1.91118971O. Storozhenko1.8081111113LSep 20 · 12:05R. Novak1.7311811143O. Storozhenko2.006113121LSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101LSep 19 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.61146671I. Pytsko2.20121111113WSep 18 · 23:30O. Budnikov2.3811771192O. Storozhenko1.53511113113WSep 18 · 21:30I. Fashchevskyi2.20118111032O. Storozhenko1.61711812113WSep 18 · 20:30V. Kovalchuk1.8311811972O. Storozhenko1.83911811113LSep 16 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.8311119113O. Storozhenko1.83891161
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