TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115911117106
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-6
Point 92 set 5, 10-6 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 55.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 62–53 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 53 of their 115 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:06What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Parahailo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-53 in 115
Parahailo
Correct
gap of 9 in 115, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1616 vs Shchegelskyi 1515
Parahailo
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 80% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
Parahailo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 60% vs Shchegelskyi 30%
Parahailo
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo +4 · Shchegelskyi -1
Parahailo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Parahailo) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 1.80 / Shchegelskyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Parahailo)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13162047
Parahailo1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 65 of 85
Shchegelskyi1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo8wins
AwayShchegelskyi2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo100%8 of 8
AwayShchegelskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo8Shchegelskyi2n = 10Parahailo took 8 of 10
S2Parahailo9Shchegelskyi1n = 10Parahailo took 9 of 10
S3Parahailo5Shchegelskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Parahailo4Shchegelskyi3n = 7Parahailo took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoShchegelskyiP − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.733.8+5.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 802 vs 475 / 91950.5%51.7%405 / 802 vs 475 / 919Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoParahailo 1.80/Shchegelskyi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo4611616133D. Shchegelskyi4261114111
WAug 30 · 15:35Y. Parahailo48111196113D. Shchegelskyi4559111192
WJul 27 · 09:35Y. Parahailo3311110113D. Shchegelskyi30761161
WJul 26 · 14:05Y. Parahailo341211113D. Shchegelskyi2410680
LJul 26 · 24:30Y. Parahailo4011127101D. Shchegelskyi46131011123
WJul 19 · 16:05Y. Parahailo331111113D. Shchegelskyi228860
WJul 18 · 21:00Y. Parahailo331111113D. Shchegelskyi155730
WJun 1 · 11:35Y. Parahailo3511112113D. Shchegelskyi32981141
LMay 31 · 18:35Y. Parahailo4681111972D. Shchegelskyi45117511113
WMay 30 · 22:00Y. Parahailo4911189113D. Shchegelskyi377161131
Y. Parahailo10
WSep 20 · 16:35R. Novak1.8389121192Y. Parahailo1.831111107113WSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63611171142Y. Parahailo1.44117199113WSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113WSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.6711616133D. Shchegelskyi2.1061114111LSep 19 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.63129119113Y. Parahailo1.44101141172LSep 19 · 21:30Y. Tebenko1.83116711123Y. Parahailo1.83911114102LSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780WSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.5059111172V. Kovalchuk2.50111172113
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 20 · 13:35R. Novak2.00811213113D. Shchegelskyi1.731111101182WSep 20 · 12:35V. Kovalchuk2.20811116102D. Shchegelskyi1.61118911123LSep 20 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.10118511113D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111872LSep 20 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.6711616133D. Shchegelskyi2.1061114111WSep 20 · 24:00M. Khomenko2.10113891D. Shchegelskyi1.6751111113WSep 19 · 22:00R. Novak2.101211971D. Shchegelskyi1.6714111113LSep 19 · 20:00Y. Tebenko2.10118611113D. Shchegelskyi1.6781111942LSep 18 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2558110Y. Vorsuliak1.571111133LSep 18 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113D. Shchegelskyi2.639850LSep 18 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi3.251241041V. Slozka1.33101112113
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