TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111191012811––
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 53–48 Mykhailo Potapov Mykhailo Potapov has won 48 of their 101 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-48 in 101
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1570 vs Potapov 1544
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 80% vs Potapov 40%
Pytsko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 60% vs Potapov 40%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -1 · Potapov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.61 / Potapov 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166235
Pytsko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 64 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 48 of 65
Potapov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 48 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko5wins
AwayPotapov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko71.4%5 of 7
AwayPotapov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko7Potapov3n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S2Pytsko8Potapov2n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10
S3Pytsko3Potapov7n = 10Potapov took 7 of 10
S4Pytsko7Potapov1n = 8Pytsko took 7 of 8
S5Pytsko0Potapov5n = 5Potapov took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoPotapovPytsko − PotapovBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.4+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 606 vs 204 / 43055.9%47.4%339 / 606 vs 204 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.61/Potapov 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 01:45I. Pytsko4311791152M. Potapov47511119113
WSep 11 · 20:15I. Pytsko3811115113M. Potapov34891161
LSep 9 · 09:35I. Pytsko4211691152M. Potapov47911115113
LSep 8 · 16:05I. Pytsko4481111772M. Potapov45115711113
WSep 8 · 01:45I. Pytsko331111113M. Potapov226880
WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko4211119113M. Potapov25541151
LSep 2 · 08:35I. Pytsko50911101192M. Potapov45116125113
WSep 1 · 16:35I. Pytsko4715138113M. Potapov4113111161
LAug 31 · 21:00I. Pytsko4681181182M. Potapov45117115113
WAug 22 · 14:55I. Pytsko331111113M. Potapov238870
I. Pytsko10
LSep 21 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi1.911110114123I. Pytsko1.80712811102WSep 21 · 15:25I. Pytsko2.25129711113Y. Parahailo1.57101111382WSep 21 · 14:25D. Maltsev2.50891161I. Pytsko1.5011115113WSep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko2.10111157113O. Storozhenko1.6786111192WSep 21 · 02:45D. Maltsev2.5011114572I. Pytsko1.50971111113LSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 21 · 24:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141WSep 20 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00118181162I. Pytsko1.73811206113WSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 19 · 02:30O. Budnikov1.531111113I. Pytsko2.384780
M. Potapov10
WSep 21 · 17:25Y. Parahailo1.6151211842M. Potapov2.201110811113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Maltsev1.8391111113M. Potapov1.83115951LSep 21 · 13:55O. Storozhenko1.5011126113M. Potapov2.505101191LSep 21 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011101110113M. Potapov1.7361281282WSep 21 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.8379100M. Potapov1.831111123WSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980LSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061WSep 12 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80821111113Y. Tebenko1.9111118992
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