TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Patrik Marsalek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311114––––
Jan Przybyla
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:12 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timePatrik Marsalek to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Marsalek above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 61 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Patrik Marsalek at 63.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Marsalek 1–0 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Marsalek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Marsalek 1552 vs Przybyla 1435
Marsalek
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marsalek 80% vs Przybyla 60%
Marsalek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marsalek 70% vs Przybyla 30%
Marsalek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marsalek +1 · Przybyla +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Marsalek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarsalek 1.53 / Przybyla 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Marsalek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13163643
Marsalek1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 7 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Przybyla2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 42 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMarsalek1wins
AwayPrzybyla0wins
Marsalek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMarsalekPrzybylaM − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.042.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarsalekPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 117 vs 224 / 43847.9%51.1%56 / 117 vs 224 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarsalekMarsalek 1.53/Przybyla 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Marsalek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Marsalek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 05:40P. Marsalek4311611153J. Przybyla429119131
P. Marsalek10
WSep 20 · 07:40P. Marsalek1.73116511113A. Cizek2.0071111692LSep 20 · 06:40P. Marsalek1.801112111372T. Molin1.91614615113WSep 20 · 05:40P. Marsalek1.6111611153J. Przybyla2.209119131WSep 12 · 21:08P. Marsalek1.8371111113D. Vitasek1.83115611WSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 19:10P. Marsalek1.91111114113D. Vitasek1.801391291WSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LSep 10 · 20:48P. Marsalek1.8010760I. Heuman1.911211113LSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891
J. Przybyla10
WSep 20 · 08:10T. Molin1.80911881J. Przybyla1.9111511113WSep 20 · 07:10J. Przybyla2.10123611113A. Cizek1.67101111892LSep 20 · 05:40P. Marsalek1.6111611153J. Przybyla2.209119131WSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123LSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271LSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113LSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.