TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Molin
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115811811––
Jan Przybyla
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Molin at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 12–7 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Molin
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1505 vs Przybyla 1420
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 60% vs Przybyla 40%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 60% vs Przybyla 30%
Molin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin +1 · Przybyla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.80 / Przybyla 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Molin)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13161282
Molin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 49 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it68% 32 of 47
Przybyla1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 42 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolin6wins
AwayPrzybyla4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin100%3 of 3
AwayPrzybyla57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin3Przybyla7n = 10Przybyla took 7 of 10
S2Molin9Przybyla1n = 10Molin took 9 of 10
S3Molin8Przybyla2n = 10Molin took 8 of 10
S4Molin5Przybyla3n = 8Molin took 5 of 8
S5Molin1Przybyla4n = 5Przybyla took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolinPrzybylaM − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.440.5+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 296 vs 223 / 43752%51%154 / 296 vs 223 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.80/Przybyla 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin4291111113J. Przybyla33116971
WSep 2 · 16:44T. Molin4371114113J. Przybyla351161261
LSep 2 · 15:45T. Molin50911111272J. Przybyla50119514113
LJul 10 · 06:45T. Molin541211812112J. Przybyla551471110133
WJul 8 · 21:20T. Molin331111113J. Przybyla217770
LJul 8 · 18:45T. Molin4781112972J. Przybyla521191011113
LJul 4 · 05:45T. Molin46101181162J. Przybyla51129118113
WJul 2 · 16:45T. Molin49128126113J. Przybyla491011101172
WJul 2 · 14:45T. Molin44101111123J. Przybyla331283101
WJun 24 · 13:20T. Molin361111143J. Przybyla2695120
T. Molin10
WSep 20 · 08:44A. Cizek1.5710770T. Molin2.251211113WSep 20 · 06:40P. Marsalek1.801112111372T. Molin1.91614615113LSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672LSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113WSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113WSep 18 · 16:15T. Molin2.101111911113K. Baros1.6771311652WSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113
J. Przybyla10
WSep 20 · 07:10J. Przybyla2.10123611113A. Cizek1.67101111892WSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123LSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271LSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113LSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481WSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971LSep 10 · 16:40R. Solle1.73115118123J. Przybyla2.00511811102
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