TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210311611118119
Ales Cizek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAles Cizek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ales Cizek at 58.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 0–1 Ales Cizek Jan Przybyla has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1406 vs Cizek 1526
Cizek
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 20% vs Cizek 80%
Cizek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 20% vs Cizek 60%
Cizek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -1 · Cizek +3
Cizek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 2.10 / Cizek 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Cizek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13161209
Przybyla2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 42 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Cizek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrzybyla0wins
AwayCizek1wins
Cizek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPrzybylaCizekP − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 436 vs 230 / 48250.9%47.7%222 / 436 vs 230 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekPrzybyla 2.10/Cizek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJan 5 · 06:45J. Przybyla188460A. Cizek331111113
J. Przybyla10
WSep 20 · 08:10T. Molin1.80911881J. Przybyla1.9111511113LSep 20 · 05:40P. Marsalek1.6111611153J. Przybyla2.209119131WSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123LSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271LSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 17 · 20:50J. Przybyla1.83512661D. Osvald1.83111011113LSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340LSep 17 · 19:15V. Reska1.8011811113J. Przybyla1.91311481WSep 17 · 18:15J. Przybyla2.1031111113D. Osvald1.67118971
A. Cizek10
LSep 20 · 07:40P. Marsalek1.73116511113A. Cizek2.0071111692WSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672WSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113WSep 18 · 15:45A. Cizek2.751411113M. Moravec1.4012730LSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113WSep 18 · 13:45A. Cizek1.801112113K. Baros1.9141030WSep 17 · 16:45A. Cizek1.501112113T. Molin2.5051070LSep 17 · 15:40A. Cizek2.505118111M. Moravec1.5011811133WSep 17 · 14:40A. Cizek1.801211113T. Molin1.9110780LSep 17 · 13:40A. Cizek1.675811121K. Baros2.1011116143
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.