Patrik Marsalek vs Jan Przybyla 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 20Finished

Patrik Marsalek

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1196111191513––

Jan Przybyla

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Patrik Marsalek to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingPatrik Marsalek above · Jan Przybyla below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 15-13

Point 85 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Patrik Marsalek at 56.5%

85 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:17

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Marsalek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Marsalek 1537 vs Przybyla 1414

Marsalek

Correct

both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Marsalek 80% vs Przybyla 20%

Marsalek

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Marsalek 50% vs Przybyla 20%

Marsalek

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Marsalek +4 · Przybyla +1

Marsalek

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Marsalek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Przybyla form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarsalek 1.61 / Przybyla 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Marsalek)+2.8pp

TT Cup · #13161224

Marsalek1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break

Won last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite50% won 7 of 14

Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6

Przybyla2.20

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog47% won 42 of 90

Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51

Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarsalekPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 114 vs 222 / 43547.4%51%54 / 114 vs 222 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Marsalek

Marsalek 1.61/Przybyla 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Marsalek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Marsalek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Marsalek10