TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Patrik Marsalek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11612141161315711
Tomas Molin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Marsalek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Marsalek above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 106 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Patrik Marsalek at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Marsalek 0–1 Tomas Molin Patrik Marsalek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Marsalek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Marsalek 1552 vs Molin 1505
Marsalek
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marsalek 100% vs Molin 60%
Marsalek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marsalek 60% vs Molin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marsalek +5 · Molin -2
Marsalek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marsalek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marsalek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarsalek 1.80 / Molin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marsalek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13161289
Marsalek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 7 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Molin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 18 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMarsalek0wins
AwayMolin1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMolin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMarsalekMolinMarsalek − MolinBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match54.052.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarsalekMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 117 vs 154 / 29647.9%52%56 / 117 vs 154 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarsalekMarsalek 1.80/Molin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Marsalek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 06:40P. Marsalek541112111372T. Molin52614615113
P. Marsalek10
WSep 20 · 07:40P. Marsalek1.73116511113A. Cizek2.0071111692WSep 20 · 05:40P. Marsalek1.6111611153J. Przybyla2.209119131WSep 12 · 21:08P. Marsalek1.8371111113D. Vitasek1.83115611WSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 19:10P. Marsalek1.91111114113D. Vitasek1.801391291WSep 12 · 17:40J. Palat1.83311971P. Marsalek1.8311711113LSep 10 · 20:48P. Marsalek1.8010760I. Heuman1.911211113LSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891LSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121
T. Molin10
LSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672LSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113WSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971LSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113WSep 18 · 16:15T. Molin2.101111911113K. Baros1.6771311652WSep 18 · 14:45A. Cizek1.4461111782T. Molin2.63118711113LSep 18 · 14:15M. Moravec1.3381114113T. Molin3.251181281LSep 17 · 16:45A. Cizek1.501112113T. Molin2.5051070
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