TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511711––––
Tomas Molin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Lysek to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Lysek at 57.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Lysek 11–5 Tomas Molin Tomas Molin has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Lysek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1492 vs Molin 1509
Molin
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 60% vs Molin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 40% vs Molin 60%
Molin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek -2 · Molin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molin) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.91 / Molin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molin)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13161272
Lysek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Molin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 49 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it68% 32 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysek7wins
AwayMolin3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLysek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysek100%3 of 3
AwayMolin42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysek3Molin7n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S2Lysek5Molin5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysek6Molin4n = 10Lysek took 6 of 10
S4Lysek5Molin1n = 6Lysek took 5 of 6
S5Lysek3Molin0n = 3Lysek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysekMolinL − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.735.6+2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 238 vs 156 / 29952.9%52.2%126 / 238 vs 156 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinLysek 1.91/Molin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 6 · 19:40T. Lysek237790T. Molin331111113
WJul 5 · 09:20T. Lysek46491111113T. Molin3711116452
LJul 5 · 07:45T. Lysek31511691T. Molin3611311113
WJul 4 · 08:55T. Lysek4011612113T. Molin389111081
WJul 4 · 06:45T. Lysek5611121011123T. Molin511310126102
WJun 28 · 13:10T. Lysek4291111113T. Molin30115861
LJun 28 · 11:45T. Lysek2410770T. Molin341211113
WJun 13 · 09:15T. Lysek47941211113T. Molin47111110872
WJun 13 · 08:15T. Lysek341211113T. Molin2510960
WMar 7 · 07:40T. Lysek341112113T. Molin2591060
T. Lysek10
LSep 20 · 12:10J. Volny1.6711121112123T. Lysek2.10614914102LSep 20 · 09:40V. Konvicka1.6791111113T. Lysek2.10111891LSep 12 · 13:10T. Lysek1.8813911962L. Dzida1.821111711113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113WSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091LSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292LSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582LSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180
T. Molin10
LSep 20 · 11:40V. Konvicka1.8313118113T. Molin1.831131181WSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760WSep 20 · 08:44A. Cizek1.5710770T. Molin2.251211113LSep 20 · 08:10T. Molin1.80911881J. Przybyla1.9111511113WSep 20 · 06:40P. Marsalek1.801112111372T. Molin1.91614615113LSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672LSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113WSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971
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