TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116121411912141210
Tomas Lysek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 111 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Lysek at 54.0%
111 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 5–6 Tomas Lysek Jakub Volny has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1501 vs Lysek 1479
Volny
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 40% vs Lysek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 50% vs Lysek 30%
Volny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +1 · Lysek -3
Lysek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Volny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.67 / Lysek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Volny)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13161266
Volny1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Lysek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny5wins
AwayLysek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny75%3 of 4
AwayLysek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny4Lysek6n = 10Lysek took 6 of 10
S2Volny5Lysek5n = 10split evenly
S3Volny6Lysek4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S4Volny6Lysek4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S5Volny3Lysek4n = 7Lysek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyLysekV − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.646.9−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 357 vs 126 / 23948.2%52.7%172 / 357 vs 126 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.67/Lysek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 10:15J. Volny4414111091T. Lysek4816912113
WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny4011711113T. Lysek37911981
LJul 6 · 17:40J. Volny4371111862T. Lysek47117711113
WApr 3 · 09:20J. Volny50111177143T. Lysek51981111122
LApr 3 · 08:15J. Volny4381171162T. Lysek48118117113
LMar 1 · 14:10J. Volny51117912122T. Lysek537111110143
WFeb 21 · 21:45J. Volny45111211113T. Lysek38814881
LFeb 21 · 20:15J. Volny3938111162T. Lysek50111189113
WJan 30 · 07:10J. Volny561711115123T. Lysek52196611102
WJan 25 · 18:15J. Volny45481111113T. Lysek4511118872
J. Volny10
WSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113WSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133LSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870LSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091WSep 11 · 16:40J. Volny1.671111713113O. Skvor2.1085111572WSep 11 · 15:40K. Baros1.7311178482J. Volny2.005151111113WSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113LSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140
T. Lysek10
WSep 20 · 12:50V. Konvicka1.853780T. Lysek1.851111113LSep 20 · 11:10T. Lysek1.917570T. Molin1.801111113LSep 20 · 09:40V. Konvicka1.6791111113T. Lysek2.10111891LSep 12 · 13:10T. Lysek1.8813911962L. Dzida1.821111711113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113WSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091LSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292LSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.