TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Jakub Volny
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 65.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 6–2 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Konvicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Konvicka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1535 vs Volny 1485
Konvicka
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 80% vs Volny 20%
Konvicka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 60% vs Volny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka +2 · Volny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Konvicka) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.80 / Volny 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Konvicka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13161275
Konvicka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 40 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Volny1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 41 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKonvicka6wins
AwayVolny2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKonvicka leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonvicka71.4%5 of 7
AwayVolnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka7Volny1n = 8Konvicka took 7 of 8
S2Konvicka4Volny4n = 8split evenly
S3Konvicka3Volny5n = 8Volny took 5 of 8
S4Konvicka7Volny1n = 8Konvicka took 7 of 8
S5Konvicka1Volny2n = 3Volny took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home563%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKonvickaVolnyK − VBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match43.039.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 266 vs 171 / 35652.6%48%140 / 266 vs 171 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.80/Volny 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 13 · 08:40V. Konvicka491013411113J. Volny48121111772
WJun 13 · 08:10V. Konvicka4011711113J. Volny27311671
WJun 5 · 14:15V. Konvicka4211911113J. Volny28111881
LMar 15 · 09:50V. Konvicka4411117782J. Volny50891111113
WMar 15 · 08:15V. Konvicka3911611113J. Volny36711991
LFeb 20 · 16:15V. Konvicka4811791292J. Volny529111110113
WDec 17 · 18:10V. Konvicka4413119113J. Volny381171191
WDec 17 · 16:40V. Konvicka3811115113J. Volny33881161
V. Konvicka10
WSep 20 · 09:40V. Konvicka1.6791111113T. Lysek2.10111891WSep 16 · 17:09V. Konvicka1.61118117123L. Dzida2.20911411102LSep 16 · 16:10V. Konvicka2.00101130M. Henzel1.731213113WSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73541191V. Konvicka2.0011114113WSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052
J. Volny10
LSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760WSep 12 · 12:38V. Reska1.61111179112J. Volny2.20971111133LSep 12 · 12:15J. Volny1.676960V. Reska2.101111113LSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870LSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091WSep 11 · 16:40J. Volny1.671111713113O. Skvor2.1085111572WSep 11 · 15:40K. Baros1.7311178482J. Volny2.005151111113WSep 11 · 15:10O. Skvor2.00512101182J. Volny1.731110126113LSep 11 · 14:10J. Volny1.731157101A. Drozd2.0081111123WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140
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