TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13141574
Played Sep 16Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111147111210
Lukas Dzida
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10
94 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 2–1 Lukas Dzida Lukas Dzida has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Konvicka beat Dzida 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Konvicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.61 / Dzida 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Konvicka)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13141574
Konvicka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 39 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Dzida2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog58% won 33 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back38% 11 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKonvicka2wins
AwayDzida1wins
Konvicka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka2Dzida1n = 3Konvicka took 2 of 3
S2Konvicka2Dzida1n = 3Konvicka took 2 of 3
S3Konvicka1Dzida2n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKonvickaDzidaK − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match29.027.0+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 264 vs 113 / 20852.3%54.3%138 / 264 vs 113 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.61/Dzida 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 14:10V. Konvicka3711114113L. Dzida29541191
WAug 25 · 13:40V. Konvicka331111113L. Dzida199640
LAug 14 · 15:40V. Konvicka175570L. Dzida331111113
V. Konvicka10
LSep 16 · 16:10V. Konvicka2.00101130M. Henzel1.731213113WSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73541191V. Konvicka2.0011114113WSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980
L. Dzida10
WSep 16 · 15:40D. Branny2.00811681L. Dzida1.7311911113WSep 16 · 15:10M. Henzel2.00116891L. Dzida1.7371111113LSep 16 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73541191V. Konvicka2.0011114113WSep 16 · 12:40L. Dzida1.83581111123T. Kindl1.83111189102LSep 16 · 12:10M. Moravec1.831111133L. Dzida1.8399110WSep 16 · 11:10L. Dzida1.9111611113T. Kindl1.80711831LSep 16 · 09:40D. Pawlik1.6111118113L. Dzida2.20891171WSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113WSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota2.005990L. Dzida1.731111113LSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123
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