TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911111118119––
Tomas Lysek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 55.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 4–3 Tomas Lysek Tomas Lysek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Konvicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1524 vs Lysek 1503
Konvicka
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 80% vs Lysek 60%
Konvicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 60% vs Lysek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka +1 · Lysek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Konvicka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.67 / Lysek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Konvicka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13161280
Konvicka1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 40 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Lysek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKonvicka4wins
AwayLysek3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKonvicka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonvicka66.7%2 of 3
AwayLysek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka3Lysek4n = 7Lysek took 4 of 7
S2Konvicka3Lysek4n = 7Lysek took 4 of 7
S3Konvicka3Lysek4n = 7Lysek took 4 of 7
S4Konvicka1Lysek3n = 4Lysek took 3 of 4
S5Konvicka3Lysek0n = 3Konvicka took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKonvickaLysekK − LBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.436.3+0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 265 vs 126 / 23752.5%53.2%139 / 265 vs 126 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.67/Lysek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka5512111110113T. Lysek5114881292
WSep 12 · 08:15V. Konvicka331111113T. Lysek189540
WJul 22 · 14:15V. Konvicka45111166113T. Lysek4267111172
LJun 28 · 07:45V. Konvicka176290T. Lysek331111113
WMay 8 · 09:40V. Konvicka47861111113T. Lysek3411114712
LFeb 15 · 16:10V. Konvicka37129971T. Lysek43101111113
LDec 14 · 07:40V. Konvicka217950T. Lysek331111113
V. Konvicka10
LSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113WSep 16 · 17:09V. Konvicka1.61118117123L. Dzida2.20911411102LSep 16 · 16:10V. Konvicka2.00101130M. Henzel1.731213113WSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73541191V. Konvicka2.0011114113WSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052
T. Lysek10
LSep 12 · 13:10T. Lysek1.8813911962L. Dzida1.821111711113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113WSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091LSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292LSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582LSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132
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