TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311113811118––
Tomas Molin
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 56.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 10–7 Tomas Molin Tomas Molin has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Konvicka
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1520 vs Molin 1522
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 60% vs Molin 80%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 60% vs Molin 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka -1 · Molin +3
Molin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Konvicka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.83 / Molin 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Konvicka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13161269
Konvicka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Molin1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonvicka7wins
AwayMolin3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKonvicka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonvicka100%7 of 7
AwayMolin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka7Molin3n = 10Konvicka took 7 of 10
S2Konvicka6Molin4n = 10Konvicka took 6 of 10
S3Konvicka5Molin5n = 10split evenly
S4Konvicka2Molin3n = 5Molin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonvickaMolinK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.435.8−0.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 267 vs 157 / 30052.4%52.3%140 / 267 vs 157 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.83/Molin 1.83
Hit
What we said
54%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 15 · 16:10V. Konvicka48141157113T. Molin48129111152
WJun 23 · 17:25V. Konvicka361111143T. Molin3099120
WJun 23 · 13:45V. Konvicka331111113T. Molin259790
WJun 20 · 09:10V. Konvicka3411111113T. Molin35691191
WJun 20 · 07:10V. Konvicka331111113T. Molin238870
LJun 7 · 08:45V. Konvicka209740T. Molin331111113
WJun 7 · 08:15V. Konvicka4312712123T. Molin41101110101
LJun 4 · 16:45V. Konvicka26114110T. Molin371311133
WJun 4 · 13:45V. Konvicka49137117113T. Molin46111171162
LFeb 14 · 09:15V. Konvicka32911841T. Molin4011711113
V. Konvicka10
LSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113WSep 20 · 09:40V. Konvicka1.6791111113T. Lysek2.10111891WSep 16 · 17:09V. Konvicka1.61118117123L. Dzida2.20911411102LSep 16 · 16:10V. Konvicka2.00101130M. Henzel1.731213113WSep 16 · 14:40D. Branny1.83118421V. Konvicka1.8351111113WSep 16 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73541191V. Konvicka2.0011114113WSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151
T. Molin10
WSep 20 · 11:10T. Lysek1.917570T. Molin1.801111113WSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760WSep 20 · 08:44A. Cizek1.5710770T. Molin2.251211113LSep 20 · 08:10T. Molin1.80911881J. Przybyla1.9111511113WSep 20 · 06:40P. Marsalek1.801112111372T. Molin1.91614615113LSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672LSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113WSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113WSep 18 · 18:15T. Molin1.8391111113J. Przybyla1.83116971
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