TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10128111210115611
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Pomin to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Roman Pomin at 66.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 9–5 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Pomin
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1600 vs Makovka 1531
Pomin
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Makovka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 50% vs Makovka 70%
Makovka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin -1 · Makovka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Pomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.40 / Makovka 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Pomin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13160922
Pomin1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 12 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Makovka2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePomin7wins
AwayMakovka3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPomin leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin66.7%4 of 6
AwayMakovka25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin6Makovka4n = 10Pomin took 6 of 10
S2Pomin6Makovka4n = 10Pomin took 6 of 10
S3Pomin6Makovka3n = 9Pomin took 6 of 9
S4Pomin3Makovka2n = 5Pomin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPominMakovkaP − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.732.0+5.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 137 vs 151 / 38051.8%39.7%71 / 137 vs 151 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PominPomin 1.40/Makovka 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 4 · 13:10R. Pomin331111113Y. Makovka156720
WMar 7 · 14:10R. Pomin371111153Y. Makovka2777130
WJan 10 · 10:00R. Pomin4291111113Y. Makovka26115281
WDec 20 · 17:40R. Pomin49121115113Y. Makovka421461391
LDec 13 · 12:10R. Pomin391281181Y. Makovka45101113113
LNov 8 · 12:10R. Pomin36118981Y. Makovka3961111113
WOct 4 · 11:10R. Pomin50791111123Y. Makovka41111118102
LSep 20 · 15:40R. Pomin199820Y. Makovka331111113
WJul 20 · 09:35R. Pomin341111123Y. Makovka2037100
R. Pomin10
WSep 20 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi1.6111121171R. Pomin2.2013146113LSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051WSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113
Y. Makovka10
LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.