TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435621
Played Aug 15Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911911116118
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Pomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Roman Pomin at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 5–4 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1564 vs Holoborodko 1532
Pomin
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 50% vs Holoborodko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin -1 · Holoborodko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pomin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.61 / Holoborodko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pomin)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435621
Pomin1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 13 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Holoborodko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePomin5wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPomin leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin66.7%4 of 6
AwayHoloborodko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin6Holoborodko3n = 9Pomin took 6 of 9
S2Pomin2Holoborodko7n = 9Holoborodko took 7 of 9
S3Pomin8Holoborodko1n = 9Pomin took 8 of 9
S4Pomin4Holoborodko3n = 7Pomin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricPominHoloborodkoP − HBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.034.9+3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 157 vs 280 / 53754.8%52.1%86 / 157 vs 280 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PominPomin 1.61/Holoborodko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 18 · 11:10R. Pomin335101171Y. Holoborodko4311129113
WJul 4 · 11:10R. Pomin3961111113Y. Holoborodko33118681
WMay 23 · 11:10R. Pomin4011611123Y. Holoborodko334118101
WMay 9 · 14:40R. Pomin3711411113Y. Holoborodko30411691
WApr 4 · 14:40R. Pomin4211911113Y. Holoborodko31811481
LMar 7 · 15:10R. Pomin4411911942Y. Holoborodko4581191163
LFeb 22 · 12:30R. Pomin268990Y. Holoborodko321111103
WFeb 14 · 12:10R. Pomin321111103Y. Holoborodko186750
LJan 24 · 17:40R. Pomin49128118102Y. Holoborodko491011511123
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113LAug 13 · 13:10R. Pomin2.00147931A. Droshchynskyi1.73121111113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191LAug 11 · 12:20R. Pomin2.205940O. Strutinskiy1.611111113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680LSep 19 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.001011119142A. Zozulia1.73125711163WSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LSep 17 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.201111113Y. Holoborodko1.617880LSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113LSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.50101111113Y. Holoborodko2.50123651WSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113
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