TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415511
Played Aug 13Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412711911311––
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 78 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 1–2 Andrii Droshchynskyi Roman Pomin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1603 vs Droshchynskyi 1682
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 40% vs Droshchynskyi 80%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin +1 · Droshchynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 2.00 / Droshchynskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12415511
Pomin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 18 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Droshchynskyi1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 59 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePomin1wins
AwayDroshchynskyi2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin1Droshchynskyi2n = 3Droshchynskyi took 2 of 3
S2Pomin1Droshchynskyi2n = 3Droshchynskyi took 2 of 3
S3Pomin2Droshchynskyi1n = 3Pomin took 2 of 3
S4Pomin3Droshchynskyi0n = 3Pomin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPominDroshchynskyiP − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.345.7−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 148 vs 98 / 17555.4%56%82 / 148 vs 98 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiPomin 2.00/Droshchynskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 18 · 16:40R. Pomin4181111113A. Droshchynskyi34117791
LMay 9 · 13:10R. Pomin3611821142A. Droshchynskyi48611119113
LFeb 22 · 06:30R. Pomin5610101211132A. Droshchynskyi551212106153
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191LAug 11 · 12:20R. Pomin2.205940O. Strutinskiy1.611111113
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi1.539340A. Zozulia2.381111113LSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482WSep 19 · 12:10V. Merzlikin3.754611111A. Droshchynskyi1.2511114133LSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131LSep 17 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.8051111113A. Droshchynskyi1.91114871WSep 17 · 13:40V. Merzlikin4.00147331A. Droshchynskyi1.22121111113WSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.73151358113A. Zozulia2.001311111172LSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692
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