TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435616
Played Aug 15Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119118311911114
Oleksandr Blashkun
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Oleksandr Blashkun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 3–1 Oleksandr Blashkun Oleksandr Blashkun has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Pomin
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1579 vs Blashkun 1630
Blashkun
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Blashkun 60%
Blashkun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 30% vs Blashkun 70%
Blashkun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin +1 · Blashkun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Blashkun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.73 / Blashkun 2.00
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Blashkun)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435616
Pomin1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 13 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Blashkun2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePomin3wins
AwayBlashkun1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPomin leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin100%3 of 3
AwayBlashkunn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin3Blashkun1n = 4Pomin took 3 of 4
S2Pomin3Blashkun1n = 4Pomin took 3 of 4
S3Pomin2Blashkun2n = 4split evenly
S4Pomin1Blashkun2n = 3Blashkun took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPominBlashkunP − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.034.0+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominBlashkunBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 152 vs 78 / 16554.6%47.3%83 / 152 vs 78 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunPomin 1.73/Blashkun 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin3811115113O. Blashkun38991191
LJul 18 · 15:40R. Pomin30191281O. Blashkun43111110113
WJul 4 · 14:40R. Pomin47111168113O. Blashkun3546111132
WApr 4 · 13:10R. Pomin331111113O. Blashkun206950
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113LAug 13 · 13:10R. Pomin2.00147931A. Droshchynskyi1.73121111113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191LAug 11 · 12:20R. Pomin2.205940O. Strutinskiy1.611111113
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191
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