TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435878
Played Aug 15Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111181012911––
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Sopivnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ruslan Sopivnyk at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 2–1 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1584 vs Sopivnyk 1652
Sopivnyk
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 60% vs Sopivnyk 40%
Pomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 50% vs Sopivnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin +3 · Sopivnyk -2
Pomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pomin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.50 / Sopivnyk 2.50
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Pomin)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12435878
Pomin1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 13 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Sopivnyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePomin2wins
AwaySopivnyk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPomin leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin66.7%2 of 3
AwaySopivnykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin3Sopivnyk0n = 3Pomin took 3 of 3
S2Pomin1Sopivnyk2n = 3Sopivnyk took 2 of 3
S3Pomin3Sopivnyk0n = 3Pomin took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPominSopivnykP − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match41.334.7+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 154 vs 178 / 36055.2%49.4%85 / 154 vs 178 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PominPomin 1.50/Sopivnyk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin4611811792R. Sopivnyk43511511113
WMay 23 · 14:40R. Pomin331111113R. Sopivnyk228770
WApr 4 · 15:40R. Pomin4511911143R. Sopivnyk399117121
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113LAug 13 · 13:10R. Pomin2.00147931A. Droshchynskyi1.73121111113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191LAug 11 · 12:20R. Pomin2.205940O. Strutinskiy1.611111113
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113
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