TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12398325
Played Aug 11Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911411––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 57.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 1–0 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1601 vs Strutinskiy 1670
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 20% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 40% vs Strutinskiy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin +1 · Strutinskiy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 2.20 / Strutinskiy 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12398325
Pomin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 17 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Strutinskiy1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 142 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it90% 79 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it78% 104 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePomin1wins
AwayStrutinskiy0wins
Pomin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPominStrutinskiyP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.038.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 146 vs 402 / 76455.5%52.6%81 / 146 vs 402 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyPomin 2.20/Strutinskiy 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 11 · 12:20R. Pomin4111611133O. Strutinskiy388118111
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113LAug 13 · 13:10R. Pomin2.00147931A. Droshchynskyi1.73121111113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113WSep 18 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.20119111072O. Strutinskiy1.61611912113LSep 18 · 15:00I. Nitchenko1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311711792LSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113LSep 18 · 13:00A. Derevianko2.00511711113O. Strutinskiy1.7311911942WSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Strutinskiy1.301111113O. Zhyrnov3.409840WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.