TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148433
Played Sep 18Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511119711119114
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 89 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 54–66 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Andrii Derevianko has won 54 of their 120 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-66 in 120
Strutinskiy
Wrong
gap of 12 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1702 vs Strutinskiy 1701
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Strutinskiy 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -2 · Strutinskiy +3
Strutinskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.00 / Strutinskiy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148433
Derevianko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 129 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back24% 45 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 100
Strutinskiy1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 147 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it87% 76 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it74% 107 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko3wins
AwayStrutinskiy7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko100%3 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Derevianko6Strutinskiy4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko7Strutinskiy3n = 10Derevianko took 7 of 10
S4Derevianko4Strutinskiy4n = 8split evenly
S5Derevianko1Strutinskiy5n = 6Strutinskiy took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoStrutinskiyD − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.5+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 976 vs 415 / 80647.4%51.5%463 / 976 vs 415 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyDerevianko 2.00/Strutinskiy 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 08:20A. Derevianko491110116113O. Strutinskiy4571281172
LSep 14 · 14:00A. Derevianko31611681O. Strutinskiy4011711113
LSep 11 · 05:50A. Derevianko4156111182O. Strutinskiy46111176113
LSep 10 · 18:30A. Derevianko4789111182O. Strutinskiy50111189113
LSep 8 · 07:20A. Derevianko47117111172O. Strutinskiy49131159113
WSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko341211113O. Strutinskiy2710890
WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko331111113O. Strutinskiy124620
LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko33811591O. Strutinskiy3911611113
LSep 1 · 07:50A. Derevianko3971111372O. Strutinskiy40115211113
LAug 31 · 13:00A. Derevianko44911101132O. Strutinskiy47116127113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 16:30I. Nitchenko1.73812114113A. Derevianko2.00111041162WSep 18 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.00117811123M. Deineha1.73611114102WSep 18 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.8011912682A. Derevianko1.916111011113LSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.209680V. Savoliuk1.611111113LSep 15 · 10:20A. Nazarov1.73111298113A. Derevianko2.00510111192WSep 15 · 09:20A. Derevianko2.00115912113I. Nitchenko1.73811111082WSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113WSep 14 · 19:00A. Derevianko1.6711126123E. Hrytsenko2.1041011101WSep 14 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.20117991A. Derevianko1.6171111113
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113WSep 18 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.20119111072O. Strutinskiy1.61611912113LSep 18 · 15:00I. Nitchenko1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311711792LSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113WSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Strutinskiy1.301111113O. Zhyrnov3.409840WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113LSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782
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