TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131138
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161012114119––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 67.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 25–57 Volodymyr Savoliuk Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 25 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-57 in 82
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 32 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1658 vs Savoliuk 1733
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 40% vs Savoliuk 60%
Savoliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 50% vs Savoliuk 80%
Savoliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy -3 · Savoliuk -1
Strutinskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 2.75 / Savoliuk 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Savoliuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13131138
Strutinskiy2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Savoliuk1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 120 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy2wins
AwaySavoliuk8wins
Savoliuk leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy33.3%1 of 3
AwaySavoliuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy3Savoliuk7n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10
S2Strutinskiy5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Strutinskiy2Savoliuk8n = 10Savoliuk took 8 of 10
S4Strutinskiy1Savoliuk5n = 6Savoliuk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiySavoliukStrutinskiy − SavoliukBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.435.2−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiySavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 808 vs 303 / 53551.2%56.6%414 / 808 vs 303 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukStrutinskiy 2.75/Savoliuk 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy26611631V. Savoliuk3711411113
LSep 11 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy28117911V. Savoliuk4291111113
LSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy25211571V. Savoliuk3811511113
LSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy208750V. Savoliuk331111113
LSep 1 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy4011711111V. Savoliuk4361113133
WAug 31 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy361411113V. Savoliuk2212640
LAug 28 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy331011481V. Savoliuk4312911113
WAug 25 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy4291111113V. Savoliuk27119431
LAug 24 · 16:00O. Strutinskiy2459100V. Savoliuk341111123
LAug 15 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy208480V. Savoliuk331111113
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113LSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782WSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113WSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123WSep 14 · 14:00A. Derevianko1.91611681O. Strutinskiy1.8011711113WSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631WSep 12 · 11:20O. Zhyrnov3.5091251182O. Strutinskiy1.281110117113LSep 12 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311611862
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 15 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.7511114113V. Savoliuk1.40471191WSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113LSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101WSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752WSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123WSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.