TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116902
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111181181315
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 105 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 65.1%
105 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 18–6 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-6 in 24
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1720 vs Zhyrnov 1747
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 100% vs Zhyrnov 80%
Savoliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 70% vs Zhyrnov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk +5 · Zhyrnov +1
Savoliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 1.40 / Zhyrnov 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Savoliuk)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116902
Savoliuk1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 125 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it91% 62 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Zhyrnov2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk9wins
AwayZhyrnov1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk100%5 of 5
AwayZhyrnov20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S2Savoliuk9Zhyrnov1n = 10Savoliuk took 9 of 10
S3Savoliuk8Zhyrnov2n = 10Savoliuk took 8 of 10
S4Savoliuk4Zhyrnov3n = 7Savoliuk took 4 of 7
S5Savoliuk3Zhyrnov1n = 4Savoliuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukZhyrnovS − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.232.9+8.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 530 vs 383 / 76956.6%49.8%300 / 530 vs 383 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 1.40/Zhyrnov 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 12 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—616711113O. Zhyrnov—111411942
WMar 17 · 11:50V. Savoliuk—11114113O. Zhyrnov—461121
WMar 16 · 19:50V. Savoliuk—1112138113O. Zhyrnov—914111192
WMar 10 · 11:50V. Savoliuk—71111113O. Zhyrnov—113941
LMar 9 · 16:20V. Savoliuk—41111872O. Zhyrnov—117711113
WMar 6 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—1111113O. Zhyrnov—7880
WFeb 24 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—91111113O. Zhyrnov—116861
WJan 2 · 11:20V. Savoliuk—611119103O. Zhyrnov—11431172
WDec 12 · 11:50V. Savoliuk—1111113O. Zhyrnov—3490
WDec 11 · 18:20V. Savoliuk—1111113O. Zhyrnov—7970
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113WSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101WSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752WSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123WSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123WSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911LSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181LSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.005121051V. Savoliuk1.73111012113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 12 · 07:20A. Zozulia3.2591171172O. Zhyrnov1.33117119113LSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880WSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia1.9110490O. Zhyrnov1.801211113WSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113WSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113LSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192WSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov3.7515127113O. Strutinskiy1.2513101191LSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192LSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650
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