TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111308
Played Sep 11Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119811118––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 61.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 2–3 Volodymyr Savoliuk Maksym Deineha has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1732 vs Savoliuk 1642
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 100% vs Savoliuk 40%
Deineha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 100% vs Savoliuk 20%
Deineha
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha +5 · Savoliuk -1
Deineha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 2.20 / Savoliuk 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Savoliuk)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111308
Deineha2.20
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Savoliuk1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 121 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it91% 61 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 87 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDeineha2wins
AwaySavoliuk3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDeinehan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySavoliuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Deineha1Savoliuk4n = 5Savoliuk took 4 of 5
S2Deineha2Savoliuk3n = 5Savoliuk took 3 of 5
S3Deineha0Savoliuk5n = 5Savoliuk took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricDeinehaSavoliukD − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.037.0−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 70 vs 294 / 52460%56.1%42 / 70 vs 294 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDeineha 2.20/Savoliuk 1.61
Miss
What we said
55.3%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha—11118113V. Savoliuk—991181
WSep 10 · 19:00M. Deineha—311911113V. Savoliuk—11711872
LAug 24 · 12:30M. Deineha—8980V. Savoliuk—1111113
LAug 14 · 17:00M. Deineha—78130V. Savoliuk—1111153
LAug 10 · 13:00M. Deineha—71090V. Savoliuk—1112113
M. Deineha10
WSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Deineha1.83391111133A. Derevianko1.83111195112WSep 10 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy1.91111197102M. Deineha1.80981111123WSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.005121051V. Savoliuk1.73111012113LSep 10 · 15:00I. Nitchenko2.63381511143V. Savoliuk1.441111138122LSep 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.57114881A. Derevianko2.2581111113WSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy2.75211571V. Savoliuk1.4011511113LSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:40V. Savoliuk1.83117117102A. Lievshin1.83911911123LSep 8 · 14:40V. Savoliuk2.50101191272V. Marushchak1.501261110113LSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113LSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113
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