TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105671
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911811911––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 1–1 Maksym Deineha Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1684 vs Deineha 1668
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 20% vs Deineha 100%
Deineha
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 40% vs Deineha 70%
Deineha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +1 · Deineha +5
Deineha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.00 / Deineha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105671
Mrykh2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Deineha1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMrykh1wins
AwayDeineha1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMrykhDeinehaM − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.535.0−1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 472 vs 36 / 6446.2%56.3%218 / 472 vs 36 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaMrykh 2.00/Deineha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 21 · 11:50M. Mrykh—1113113M. Deineha—91180
LAug 20 · 13:00M. Mrykh—611871M. Deineha—11911113
M. Mrykh10
WSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041LSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790LSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192LSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123
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