TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105986
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Nitchenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
31181115131181412
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Nitchenko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 106 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 64.9%
106 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Nitchenko 8–13 Volodymyr Savoliuk Ivan Nitchenko has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nitchenko 1567 vs Savoliuk 1661
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nitchenko 20% vs Savoliuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nitchenko 40% vs Savoliuk 20%
Nitchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nitchenko -1 · Savoliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNitchenko 2.63 / Savoliuk 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Savoliuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105986
Nitchenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Savoliuk1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 119 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNitchenko3wins
AwaySavoliuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNitchenko75%3 of 4
AwaySavoliuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nitchenko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Nitchenko1Savoliuk9n = 10Savoliuk took 9 of 10
S3Nitchenko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Nitchenko3Savoliuk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricNitchenkoSavoliukN − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.937.8−7.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNitchenkoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 389 vs 293 / 52048.3%56.4%188 / 389 vs 293 / 520Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukNitchenko 2.63/Savoliuk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nitchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 07:20I. Nitchenko—11119382V. Savoliuk—691111113
LAug 7 · 07:20I. Nitchenko—1540V. Savoliuk—1111113
LJul 21 · 07:20I. Nitchenko—6640V. Savoliuk—1111113
LJul 17 · 16:30I. Nitchenko—9730V. Savoliuk—1111113
WJul 14 · 10:50I. Nitchenko—11611113V. Savoliuk—811671
LJun 23 · 11:20I. Nitchenko—6990V. Savoliuk—1111113
WJun 16 · 07:50I. Nitchenko—11911113V. Savoliuk—711791
LJun 12 · 06:20I. Nitchenko—691181V. Savoliuk—11119113
LJun 9 · 08:20I. Nitchenko—971131V. Savoliuk—11117113
WMay 19 · 10:20I. Nitchenko—113611123V. Savoliuk—911119102
I. Nitchenko10
LSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Nitchenko1.731111113A. Derevianko2.007790LSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy1.8311711113I. Nitchenko1.83711591LSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123LSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131WSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580WSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.57114881A. Derevianko2.2581111113WSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy2.75211571V. Savoliuk1.4011511113LSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:40V. Savoliuk1.83117117102A. Lievshin1.83911911123LSep 8 · 14:40V. Savoliuk2.50101191272V. Marushchak1.501261110113LSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113LSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113LSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162WSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.