TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105681
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Nitchenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311711––––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Nitchenko above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 70.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Nitchenko 0–1 Maksym Deineha Ivan Nitchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nitchenko 1577 vs Deineha 1680
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nitchenko 40% vs Deineha 100%
Deineha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nitchenko 40% vs Deineha 70%
Deineha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nitchenko +1 · Deineha +5
Deineha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNitchenko 2.10 / Deineha 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Deineha)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105681
Nitchenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Deineha1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNitchenko0wins
AwayDeineha1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDeineha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNitchenkoDeinehaN − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.047.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNitchenkoDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 388 vs 37 / 6548.5%56.9%188 / 388 vs 37 / 65Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaNitchenko 2.10/Deineha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 21 · 07:20I. Nitchenko—11911292M. Deineha—611811113
I. Nitchenko10
WSep 10 · 12:00I. Nitchenko1.731111113A. Derevianko2.007790LSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy1.8311711113I. Nitchenko1.83711591LSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123LSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131WSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580WSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261
M. Deineha10
WSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113
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