TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094595
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210118811811711
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 73.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 4–23 Artem Yurkov Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 4 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-23 in 27
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 19 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1711 vs Yurkov 1667
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 40% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 30% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -1 · Yurkov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 3.50 / Yurkov 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13094595
Savoliuk3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Yurkov1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk1wins
AwayYurkov9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayYurkov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S2Savoliuk3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Savoliuk4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Savoliuk2Yurkov7n = 9Yurkov took 7 of 9
S5Savoliuk1Yurkov2n = 3Yurkov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukYurkovS − YBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.439.9−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 513 vs 590 / 99056.9%59.6%292 / 513 vs 590 / 990Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovSavoliuk 3.50/Yurkov 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.8%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk—8111181A. Yurkov—11136113
LJul 8 · 06:20V. Savoliuk—116471A. Yurkov—71111113
LJul 1 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—61181172A. Yurkov—115117113
LJun 29 · 15:40V. Savoliuk—112841A. Yurkov—61111113
LJun 22 · 14:10V. Savoliuk—7580A. Yurkov—1111113
LMar 11 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—811191A. Yurkov—11711113
LFeb 25 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—8111151A. Yurkov—11138113
LFeb 11 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—10111061A. Yurkov—12612103
WFeb 10 · 19:20V. Savoliuk—118117113A. Yurkov—91131162
LFeb 4 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—67111162A. Yurkov—11113493
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113LSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162WSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113
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