TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094539
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61110121191012––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 44–51 Artem Yurkov Andrii Hrabskyi has won 44 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-51 in 95
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 7 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1636 vs Yurkov 1679
Yurkov
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Yurkov 80%
Yurkov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 50% vs Yurkov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -4 · Yurkov +2
Hrabskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.20 / Yurkov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094539
Hrabskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 118 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 90
Yurkov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayYurkov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S3Hrabskyi4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Hrabskyi5Yurkov4n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9
S5Hrabskyi2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiYurkovH − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.042.4+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 505 vs 590 / 99043.8%59.6%221 / 505 vs 590 / 990Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovHrabskyi 2.20/Yurkov 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi—714101272A. Yurkov—11121210113
WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—1116123A. Yurkov—614100
WSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—1191111123A. Yurkov—911813102
LAug 31 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi—791281A. Yurkov—111110113
WAug 26 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi—11119113A. Yurkov—891181
WAug 25 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—11111110113A. Yurkov—13581232
LAug 24 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—128711112A. Yurkov—1011114133
WAug 19 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi—11118113A. Yurkov—651181
LAug 17 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—11169782A. Yurkov—6141111113
WAug 14 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi—111111113A. Yurkov—681381
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113LSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113LSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133
A. Yurkov10
WSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113
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