TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094650
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611611118711
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 60.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 1–3 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1699 vs Kolbasenko 1761
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 20% vs Kolbasenko 100%
Kolbasenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 30% vs Kolbasenko 80%
Kolbasenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -2 · Kolbasenko +5
Kolbasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 2.38 / Kolbasenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094650
Savoliuk2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Kolbasenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 68 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it85% 51 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSavoliuk1wins
AwayKolbasenko3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk2Kolbasenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Savoliuk2Kolbasenko2n = 4split evenly
S3Savoliuk1Kolbasenko3n = 4Kolbasenko took 3 of 4
S4Savoliuk1Kolbasenko2n = 3Kolbasenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSavoliukKolbasenkoS − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.839.5−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 514 vs 173 / 32356.8%53.6%292 / 514 vs 173 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoSavoliuk 2.38/Kolbasenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMar 11 · 11:20V. Savoliuk—881191O. Kolbasenko—11114113
LFeb 2 · 15:40V. Savoliuk—16116902O. Kolbasenko—1471111113
WJan 19 · 15:40V. Savoliuk—11118113O. Kolbasenko—991151
LDec 19 · 15:40V. Savoliuk—4790O. Kolbasenko—1111113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113LSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162WSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101WSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641WSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113WSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.