TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105708
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51112101012511––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 9–3 Volodymyr Savoliuk Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:30What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Mrykh
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1700 vs Savoliuk 1647
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 60% vs Savoliuk 20%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 40% vs Savoliuk 20%
Mrykh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +2 · Savoliuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.00 / Savoliuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Savoliuk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105708
Mrykh2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Savoliuk1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 119 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh7wins
AwaySavoliuk3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh75%3 of 4
AwaySavoliuk33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh10Savoliuk0n = 10Mrykh took 10 of 10
S3Mrykh4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Mrykh4Savoliuk5n = 9Savoliuk took 5 of 9
S5Mrykh4Savoliuk2n = 6Mrykh took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhSavoliukM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.841.9+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 470 vs 293 / 52146.2%56.2%217 / 470 vs 293 / 521Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukMrykh 2.00/Savoliuk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh—5131011133V. Savoliuk—1111127112
WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh—511117113V. Savoliuk—11961132
WAug 15 · 08:50M. Mrykh—11115113V. Savoliuk—991181
LNov 19 · 08:50M. Mrykh—4121181V. Savoliuk—111013113
LOct 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh—1111115122V. Savoliuk—136711143
WOct 7 · 17:20M. Mrykh—1111113V. Savoliuk—1890
LSep 8 · 13:10M. Mrykh—111110752V. Savoliuk—851211113
WFeb 20 · 17:10M. Mrykh—101411153V. Savoliuk—12124131
WFeb 18 · 13:50M. Mrykh—111142113V. Savoliuk—67111182
WFeb 17 · 15:50M. Mrykh—811911133V. Savoliuk—113119112
M. Mrykh10
WSep 10 · 16:00M. Mrykh2.1011127113A. Derevianko1.676101181WSep 10 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.001311113O. Strutinskiy1.7311840LSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041LSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790LSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 10 · 15:00I. Nitchenko2.63381511143V. Savoliuk1.441111138122LSep 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.57114881A. Derevianko2.2581111113WSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy2.75211571V. Savoliuk1.4011511113LSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:40V. Savoliuk1.83117117102A. Lievshin1.83911911123LSep 8 · 14:40V. Savoliuk2.50101191272V. Marushchak1.501261110113LSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113LSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113LSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162WSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113
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