TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105760
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191189117111012
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 4–4 Maksym Deineha Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1681 vs Deineha 1690
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 40% vs Deineha 100%
Deineha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 30% vs Deineha 80%
Deineha
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy -3 · Deineha +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 1.91 / Deineha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105760
Strutinskiy1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Deineha1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy4wins
AwayDeineha4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy57.1%4 of 7
AwayDeinehan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy7Deineha1n = 8Strutinskiy took 7 of 8
S2Strutinskiy4Deineha4n = 8split evenly
S3Strutinskiy4Deineha4n = 8split evenly
S4Strutinskiy2Deineha5n = 7Deineha took 5 of 7
S5Strutinskiy1Deineha2n = 3Deineha took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricStrutinskiyDeinehaS − DBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match40.537.1+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiyDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 788 vs 38 / 6651.3%57.6%404 / 788 vs 38 / 66Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaStrutinskiy 1.91/Deineha 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 3 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy—11117762M. Deineha—861111113
WAug 27 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy—1191110113M. Deineha—51181232
WAug 24 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy—111011113M. Deineha—612771
LAug 21 · 08:50O. Strutinskiy—7111291M. Deineha—11714113
LAug 20 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy—114781M. Deineha—31111113
WAug 14 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy—1111113M. Deineha—3790
LAug 10 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy—11138832M. Deineha—4111111113
WJul 11 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy—11911113M. Deineha—911671
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 10 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.001311113O. Strutinskiy1.7311840LSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy2.75211571V. Savoliuk1.4011511113LSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov3.7515127113O. Strutinskiy1.2513101191WSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy1.8311711113I. Nitchenko1.83711591WSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WSep 8 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.00117111172O. Strutinskiy1.73131159113LSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko2.63611311113O. Strutinskiy1.4411411772LSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890
M. Deineha10
WSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991
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