TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116643
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131147111210––
Yehor Riadynskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Yehor Riadynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 69 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 55.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 26–30 Yehor Riadynskyi Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 26 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-30 in 56
Riadynskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1708 vs Riadynskyi 1662
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 80% vs Riadynskyi 40%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 60% vs Riadynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk +4 · Riadynskyi -2
Savoliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Riadynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riadynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 2.10 / Riadynskyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Riadynskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116643
Savoliuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 12 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Riadynskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 187 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it91% 90 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it79% 136 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk3wins
AwayRiadynskyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRiadynskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk50%3 of 6
AwayRiadynskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk6Riadynskyi4n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Savoliuk3Riadynskyi7n = 10Riadynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Savoliuk4Riadynskyi6n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Savoliuk5Riadynskyi4n = 9Savoliuk took 5 of 9
S5Savoliuk0Riadynskyi3n = 3Riadynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukRiadynskyiS − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.340.0−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukRiadynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 529 vs 395 / 69856.5%56.6%299 / 529 vs 395 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiSavoliuk 2.10/Riadynskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk—11117123Y. Riadynskyi—3411101
WAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—11117113Y. Riadynskyi—881191
LAug 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk—54111152Y. Riadynskyi—111136113
LJul 21 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—11128101Y. Riadynskyi—81411123
LJul 20 · 14:00V. Savoliuk—1112111072Y. Riadynskyi—714312113
LJul 18 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—1489101Y. Riadynskyi—121111123
LJul 17 · 18:00V. Savoliuk—8390Y. Riadynskyi—1111113
LJul 14 · 06:20V. Savoliuk—1011411112Y. Riadynskyi—128118133
LJul 13 · 14:00V. Savoliuk—931151Y. Riadynskyi—11115113
WJun 30 · 05:50V. Savoliuk—11511113Y. Riadynskyi—811951
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752WSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123WSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123WSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911LSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181LSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.005121051V. Savoliuk1.73111012113LSep 10 · 15:00I. Nitchenko2.63381511143V. Savoliuk1.441111138122LSep 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.57114881A. Derevianko2.2581111113WSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy2.75211571V. Savoliuk1.4011511113
Y. Riadynskyi10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790LAug 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi1.5012670A. Derevianko2.501411113
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