TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031455
Played Aug 28Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12105118111012––
Yehor Riadynskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Yehor Riadynskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 65.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 31–66 Yehor Riadynskyi Andrii Derevianko has won 31 of their 97 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:14What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Riadynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-66 in 97
Riadynskyi
Correct
gap of 35 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1698 vs Riadynskyi 1661
Derevianko
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 100% vs Riadynskyi 60%
Derevianko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Riadynskyi 40%
Derevianko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +5 · Riadynskyi -2
Derevianko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Riadynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.63 / Riadynskyi 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Riadynskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031455
Derevianko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 125 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 101
Riadynskyi1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 196 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it92% 95 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it80% 143 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko5wins
AwayRiadynskyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko83.3%5 of 6
AwayRiadynskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko6Riadynskyi4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S2Derevianko5Riadynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Derevianko6Riadynskyi4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S4Derevianko1Riadynskyi5n = 6Riadynskyi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoRiadynskyiD − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.5+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoRiadynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime459 / 971 vs 411 / 72447.3%56.8%459 / 971 vs 411 / 724Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiDerevianko 2.63/Riadynskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Riadynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 14:00A. Derevianko—138116123Y. Riadynskyi—1111811102
WAug 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko—1111113Y. Riadynskyi—7840
LAug 3 · 16:00A. Derevianko—7911121Y. Riadynskyi—11115143
LJul 31 · 11:50A. Derevianko—119961Y. Riadynskyi—81111113
WJul 30 · 18:00A. Derevianko—1111113Y. Riadynskyi—7550
WJul 28 · 06:20A. Derevianko—1111113Y. Riadynskyi—6680
LJul 27 · 17:30A. Derevianko—81080Y. Riadynskyi—1112113
WJul 25 · 07:20A. Derevianko—11117113Y. Riadynskyi—691161
LJul 24 · 09:50A. Derevianko—7117111Y. Riadynskyi—11611133
LJul 23 · 18:00A. Derevianko—571191Y. Riadynskyi—11116113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
Y. Riadynskyi10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790LAug 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi1.5012670A. Derevianko2.501411113LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61811911O. Strutinskiy2.2011411113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.