TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462115
Played Aug 20Finished
Yehor Riadynskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113411––––
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYehor Riadynskyi above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Riadynskyi 3–3 Volodymir Maksuta Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Riadynskyi 1684 vs Maksuta 1724
Maksuta
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riadynskyi 60% vs Maksuta 40%
Riadynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riadynskyi 50% vs Maksuta 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Riadynskyi +3 · Maksuta +1
Riadynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiadynskyi 1.67 / Maksuta 2.10
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maksuta)+9.8pp
Setka Cup · #12462115
Riadynskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 201 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it92% 98 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 146 of 183
Maksuta2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRiadynskyi3wins
AwayMaksuta3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRiadynskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayMaksuta66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Riadynskyi3Maksuta3n = 6split evenly
S2Riadynskyi3Maksuta3n = 6split evenly
S3Riadynskyi3Maksuta3n = 6split evenly
S4Riadynskyi3Maksuta1n = 4Riadynskyi took 3 of 4
S5Riadynskyi1Maksuta2n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricRiadynskyiMaksutaR − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.238.8+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiadynskyiMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 735 vs 157 / 26357%59.7%419 / 735 vs 157 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaRiadynskyi 1.67/Maksuta 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi—51140V. Maksuta—1113113
WAug 17 · 18:30Y. Riadynskyi—1111113V. Maksuta—6580
LAug 6 · 17:14Y. Riadynskyi—89111282V. Maksuta—1111710113
LAug 6 · 15:30Y. Riadynskyi—11471142V. Maksuta—411118113
WJul 2 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi—6111110113V. Maksuta—11391292
WJun 25 · 15:50Y. Riadynskyi—121312113V. Maksuta—10111451
Y. Riadynskyi10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790LAug 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi1.5012670A. Derevianko2.501411113LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61811911O. Strutinskiy2.2011411113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113
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