TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031531
Played Aug 28Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118711119––
Yehor Riadynskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Yehor Riadynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 24–29 Yehor Riadynskyi Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-29 in 53
Riadynskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1758 vs Riadynskyi 1692
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 60% vs Riadynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 70% vs Riadynskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk +3 · Riadynskyi +2
Savoliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Riadynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 2.10 / Riadynskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Riadynskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13031531
Savoliuk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Riadynskyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 196 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it92% 95 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it80% 143 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk2wins
AwayRiadynskyi8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRiadynskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk33.3%2 of 6
AwayRiadynskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk6Riadynskyi4n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Savoliuk2Riadynskyi8n = 10Riadynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Savoliuk5Riadynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Savoliuk2Riadynskyi5n = 7Riadynskyi took 5 of 7
S5Savoliuk0Riadynskyi3n = 3Riadynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukRiadynskyiS − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.1−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukRiadynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 491 vs 412 / 72557.2%56.8%281 / 491 vs 412 / 725Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiSavoliuk 2.10/Riadynskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 21 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—11128101Y. Riadynskyi—81411123
LJul 20 · 14:00V. Savoliuk—1112111072Y. Riadynskyi—714312113
LJul 18 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—1489101Y. Riadynskyi—121111123
LJul 17 · 18:00V. Savoliuk—8390Y. Riadynskyi—1111113
LJul 14 · 06:20V. Savoliuk—1011411112Y. Riadynskyi—128118133
LJul 13 · 14:00V. Savoliuk—931151Y. Riadynskyi—11115113
WJun 30 · 05:50V. Savoliuk—11511113Y. Riadynskyi—811951
LJun 12 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—14811772Y. Riadynskyi—1211711113
WJun 11 · 21:50V. Savoliuk—1113123Y. Riadynskyi—911100
LJun 9 · 10:50V. Savoliuk—610100Y. Riadynskyi—1112123
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101
Y. Riadynskyi10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790LAug 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi1.5012670A. Derevianko2.501411113LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61811911O. Strutinskiy2.2011411113
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